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Hebert's Box
Full Version: Caribbean Tropical Storm
Based on the information from the National Weather Service, they are predicting that the disturbance in the Caribbean will become a tropical depression later today. We all know what will happen if a Hurricane makes its way to the Gulf of Mexico. Consider watching this storm closely and top off your tanks if this storm takes shape.
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Hebert's Box
| Hebert's Box
Thanks for stealing my thread.
Geez.
Geez.
You thread has nothing to do with this storm, stop acting like that or I will come to your house and take your lunch money!
This one has pictures 
hopefully the one on the bottom doesn't become a hurricane.
QUOTE (-Calypso- @ Jul 19 2008, 12:11 PM) 
You thread has nothing to do with this storm, stop acting like that or I will come to your house and take your lunch money!
Mmm food. Yummy. Brb ... must ... have ... food ...
QUOTE
Meanwhile, a new tropical storm, Dolly (45 mph), has been christened in the western Caribbean Sea. Dolly, at 11 a.m. EDT, was centered about 230 miles southeast of Cozumel, Mexico, and moving northwest at 17 mph. A tropical storm warning has been hoisted for Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula.
Dolly is forecast to race across the peninsula tonight producing heavy rain and strong, gusty winds. After Dolly crosses the Yucatan, the storm may strengthen rather quickly in the southwest Gulf of Mexico. Dolly's course at that point is uncertain, but residents all along the Texas coast and northern Mexican coast should follow the storm's progress closely.
Dolly is forecast to race across the peninsula tonight producing heavy rain and strong, gusty winds. After Dolly crosses the Yucatan, the storm may strengthen rather quickly in the southwest Gulf of Mexico. Dolly's course at that point is uncertain, but residents all along the Texas coast and northern Mexican coast should follow the storm's progress closely.
Okay, its making a break for the Gulf, if you can you should really consider topping off. It's got some circulation to it and a good mas of storms, by moring I suspect there will be an eye formed with it. Remember Katrina? Gas went from 1.30/GAL to 3.00/GAL
Really annoyed here.
QUOTE (FrostedPopTart @ Jul 21 2008, 01:52 AM)
Really annoyed here.
Yeah me too, what a storm!
Hurricane watches are out for the southern Texas coast, as are inland hurricane watches for the inland areas. Time to make preparations if you live in areas such as Brownsville or Corpus Christi.
edited to add more info before the edit time limit runs out
edited to add more info before the edit time limit runs out
QUOTE
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX 809 PM CDT MON JUL 21 2008
- DOLLY GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT MOVES TOWARD SOUTH TEXAS -
KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN- 809 PM CDT MON JUL 21 2008
- HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT -
- HURRICANE WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING -
- NEW INFORMATION - TROPICAL STORM DOLLY IS BECOMING A BIT MORE ORGANIZED - AND HAS SLIGHTLY SLOWED DOWN OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. AS OF 7 PM CDT - THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS LOCATED ABOUT 430 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI.
- AREAS AFFECTED - THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS ALONG THE COASTAL BEND.
- WATCHES/WARNINGS - A HURRICANE WATCH AND HURRICANE WIND WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR KLEBERG - NUECES - SAN PATRICIO - ARANSAS - REFUGIO - AND CALHOUN COUNTIES UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
- STORM INFORMATION - AT 700 PM CDT - THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH - LONGITUDE 91.8 WEST OR ABOUT 430 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS. MOVEMENT OF DOLLY IS NOW TO THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB.
- PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS - RESIDENTS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. MAKE SURE TO DOUBLE CHECK ITEMS IN YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLY KIT INCLUDING HAVING ENOUGH FOOD AND WATER FOR THREE OR MORE DAYS. MAKE SURE YOUR VEHICLE HAS A FULL TANK OF GAS. SECURE MOBILE HOME TIE DOWNS. STORE LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE LIGHT WEIGHT OBJECTS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND GARDEN TOOLS. GET PLENTY OF EXTRA CASH IN CASE POWER GOES OUT AND ATMS DO NOT WORK. FINALLY - MAKE SURE TO FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS ISSUED BY LOCAL OFFICIALS.
...
- WINDS - TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COASTAL BEND BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
- INLAND FLOODING - LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TUESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY - AS SHOWERS AND SQUALLS FROM DOLLY MOVE INLAND. FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE - ESPECIALLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY AS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL CONTINUES OVER SOUTH TEXAS.
- NEXT UPDATE - THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND MIDNIGHT CDT.
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 536 PM CDT MON JUL 21 2008
- DOLLY MAINTAINING STRENGTH AND MOVING BRISKLY TOWARD DEEP SOUTH TEXAS -
.AT 400 PM CDT - 2100Z - THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH - LONGITUDE 91.2 WEST OR ABOUT 420 MILES - 680 KM - EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE COAST OF THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO.
DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH - 30 KM/HR. A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS - WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK - THE CENTER OF DOLLY WILL BE MOVING OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND TUESDAY - AND WILL BE NEAR THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST BY WEDNESDAY.
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH - 85 KM/HR - WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST - AND DOLLY IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO BEFORE REACHING THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES - 280 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1004 MB - 29.65 INCHES.
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 536 PM CDT MON JUL 21 2008
- DOLLY MAINTAINING STRENGTH AND MOVING BRISKLY TOWARD DEEP SOUTH TEXAS -
.AT 400 PM CDT - 2100Z - THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH - LONGITUDE 91.2 WEST OR ABOUT 420 MILES - 680 KM - EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE COAST OF THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO.
DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH - 30 KM/HR. A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS - WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK - THE CENTER OF DOLLY WILL BE MOVING OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND TUESDAY - AND WILL BE NEAR THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST BY WEDNESDAY.
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH - 85 KM/HR - WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST - AND DOLLY IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO BEFORE REACHING THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES - 280 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1004 MB - 29.65 INCHES.
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO- LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TX- LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX- COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 536 PM CDT MON JUL 21 2008
- HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT -
- NEW INFORMATION - TROPICAL STORM DOLLY IS MOVING A BIT FASTER THAN BEFORE. IN ADDITION - CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION RADIATING WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER COULD AFFECT THE GULF WATERS AS SOON AS LATE THIS EVENING OR OVERNIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS COULD BE FELT IN THE FORM OF GUSTY SHOWERS BEGINNING TUESDAY MORNING.
- AREAS AFFECTED - THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY MARINERS ON THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE.
- PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS - MARINE INTERESTS NEED TO BEGIN PREPARING FOR DETERIORATING CONDITIONS. OWNERS OF LARGER VESSELS SHOULD THINK ABOUT AVOIDING THE STORM AND SMALLER BOAT OWNERS SHOULD THINK ABOUT HOW THEY WILL TIE UP AND PROTECT THEIR VESSELS. ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY MID DAY TUESDAY.
- STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE - THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT - TIDES WILL SLOWLY RISE AND COULD REACH 1.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A STORM SURGE IN AND AROUND THE LAGUNA MADRE OF UP TO 2.5 FEET AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER - SURGE COULD BE HIGHER OR LOWER DEPENDING ON THE ULTIMATE TRACK AND INTENSITY OF DOLLY.
- WINDS - CURRENT FORECAST DATA INDICATES TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL ARRIVE TUESDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING - WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
- PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS - GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF DOLLY TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT THE ENTIRE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM WINDS IS GREATER THAN 70 PERCENT FROM NOW THROUGH THURSDAY. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS UP TO 20 PERCENT.
- TORNADOES - AN ISOLATED WATERSPOUT IS POSSIBLE BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT CONTINUING INTO TUESDAY NIGHT AS THE OUTER RAINBANDS MOVE ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO WATERS EAST OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
- NEXT UPDATE - THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1030 PM CDT.
- DOLLY GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT MOVES TOWARD SOUTH TEXAS -
KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN- 809 PM CDT MON JUL 21 2008
- HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT -
- HURRICANE WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING -
- NEW INFORMATION - TROPICAL STORM DOLLY IS BECOMING A BIT MORE ORGANIZED - AND HAS SLIGHTLY SLOWED DOWN OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. AS OF 7 PM CDT - THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS LOCATED ABOUT 430 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI.
- AREAS AFFECTED - THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS ALONG THE COASTAL BEND.
- WATCHES/WARNINGS - A HURRICANE WATCH AND HURRICANE WIND WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR KLEBERG - NUECES - SAN PATRICIO - ARANSAS - REFUGIO - AND CALHOUN COUNTIES UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
- STORM INFORMATION - AT 700 PM CDT - THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH - LONGITUDE 91.8 WEST OR ABOUT 430 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS. MOVEMENT OF DOLLY IS NOW TO THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB.
- PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS - RESIDENTS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. MAKE SURE TO DOUBLE CHECK ITEMS IN YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLY KIT INCLUDING HAVING ENOUGH FOOD AND WATER FOR THREE OR MORE DAYS. MAKE SURE YOUR VEHICLE HAS A FULL TANK OF GAS. SECURE MOBILE HOME TIE DOWNS. STORE LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE LIGHT WEIGHT OBJECTS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND GARDEN TOOLS. GET PLENTY OF EXTRA CASH IN CASE POWER GOES OUT AND ATMS DO NOT WORK. FINALLY - MAKE SURE TO FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS ISSUED BY LOCAL OFFICIALS.
...
- WINDS - TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COASTAL BEND BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
- INLAND FLOODING - LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TUESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY - AS SHOWERS AND SQUALLS FROM DOLLY MOVE INLAND. FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE - ESPECIALLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY AS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL CONTINUES OVER SOUTH TEXAS.
- NEXT UPDATE - THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND MIDNIGHT CDT.
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 536 PM CDT MON JUL 21 2008
- DOLLY MAINTAINING STRENGTH AND MOVING BRISKLY TOWARD DEEP SOUTH TEXAS -
.AT 400 PM CDT - 2100Z - THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH - LONGITUDE 91.2 WEST OR ABOUT 420 MILES - 680 KM - EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE COAST OF THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO.
DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH - 30 KM/HR. A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS - WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK - THE CENTER OF DOLLY WILL BE MOVING OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND TUESDAY - AND WILL BE NEAR THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST BY WEDNESDAY.
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH - 85 KM/HR - WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST - AND DOLLY IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO BEFORE REACHING THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES - 280 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1004 MB - 29.65 INCHES.
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 536 PM CDT MON JUL 21 2008
- DOLLY MAINTAINING STRENGTH AND MOVING BRISKLY TOWARD DEEP SOUTH TEXAS -
.AT 400 PM CDT - 2100Z - THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH - LONGITUDE 91.2 WEST OR ABOUT 420 MILES - 680 KM - EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE COAST OF THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO.
DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH - 30 KM/HR. A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS - WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK - THE CENTER OF DOLLY WILL BE MOVING OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND TUESDAY - AND WILL BE NEAR THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST BY WEDNESDAY.
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH - 85 KM/HR - WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST - AND DOLLY IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO BEFORE REACHING THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES - 280 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1004 MB - 29.65 INCHES.
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO- LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TX- LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX- COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 536 PM CDT MON JUL 21 2008
- HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT -
- NEW INFORMATION - TROPICAL STORM DOLLY IS MOVING A BIT FASTER THAN BEFORE. IN ADDITION - CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION RADIATING WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER COULD AFFECT THE GULF WATERS AS SOON AS LATE THIS EVENING OR OVERNIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS COULD BE FELT IN THE FORM OF GUSTY SHOWERS BEGINNING TUESDAY MORNING.
- AREAS AFFECTED - THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY MARINERS ON THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE.
- PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS - MARINE INTERESTS NEED TO BEGIN PREPARING FOR DETERIORATING CONDITIONS. OWNERS OF LARGER VESSELS SHOULD THINK ABOUT AVOIDING THE STORM AND SMALLER BOAT OWNERS SHOULD THINK ABOUT HOW THEY WILL TIE UP AND PROTECT THEIR VESSELS. ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY MID DAY TUESDAY.
- STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE - THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT - TIDES WILL SLOWLY RISE AND COULD REACH 1.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A STORM SURGE IN AND AROUND THE LAGUNA MADRE OF UP TO 2.5 FEET AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER - SURGE COULD BE HIGHER OR LOWER DEPENDING ON THE ULTIMATE TRACK AND INTENSITY OF DOLLY.
- WINDS - CURRENT FORECAST DATA INDICATES TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL ARRIVE TUESDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING - WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
- PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS - GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF DOLLY TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT THE ENTIRE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM WINDS IS GREATER THAN 70 PERCENT FROM NOW THROUGH THURSDAY. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS UP TO 20 PERCENT.
- TORNADOES - AN ISOLATED WATERSPOUT IS POSSIBLE BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT CONTINUING INTO TUESDAY NIGHT AS THE OUTER RAINBANDS MOVE ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO WATERS EAST OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
- NEXT UPDATE - THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1030 PM CDT.
This has been upgraded to a Hurricane WARNING as of 10pm CDT / 11pm EDT. Make your final preparations now, as this system has a chance to reach category 2 status (winds 96mph or greater).
My father is going to be going to New Orleans for business on Friday, any chance he will see any type of bad weather from this?
QUOTE (BGarcia @ Jul 22 2008, 10:13 AM)
My father is going to be going to New Orleans for business on Friday, any chance he will see any type of bad weather from this?
Doubtful, most likely just the usual afternoon thunderstorms. This is headed almost due west right now.
QUOTE (FrostedPopTart @ Jul 22 2008, 02:07 PM)
Doubtful, most likely just the usual afternoon thunderstorms. This is headed almost due west right now.
Thanks
!
This storm is now a category 1 hurricane, as was predicted a few days back. It is still on target to make landfall in south Texas sometime tomorrow.
On the news tonight: A number of coastal towns in Texas are being advised to evacuate. This may be "only" a Cat I, but the potential rainfall looks impressive. Landfall estimated to be Noon on 22 July.
Damn timeouts.
Hurricane Dolly is now nearing the Brownsville area. Winds with this system are at 85mph, and as I predicted the other day; it may approach or reach category 2 status before landfall.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATC...ml/230844.shtml
Some areas over the immediate offshore Gulf waters have already seem nearly a foot of rain. This storm is moving verrrrry slowwwwwly, so this track; while the rain is good since the area is in a drought; is also bad since the hurricane is moving so slow - due to the flooding and levee breach potential.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATC...ml/230844.shtml
QUOTE
HURRICANE DOLLY ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008 400 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
...DOLLY STRENGTHENS AS IT APPROACHES THE COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BROWNSVILLE TO CORPUS CHRISTI...AND FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER BETWEEN MEXICO AND THE UNITED STATES. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CORPUS CHRISTI TO SAN LUIS PASS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM LA PESCA TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 400 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.5 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES... 105 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.
DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF DOLLY WILL BE ALONG THE COAST NEAR THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER AROUND MIDDAY TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED...AND DOLLY COULD APPROACH CATEGORY TWO INTENSITY WHEN IT REACHES THE COASTLINE LATER TODAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM.
AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT RECENTLY REPORTED THAT THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS FALLEN TO 976 MB...28.82 INCHES.
DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEAST MEXICO.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS TODAY AND TONIGHT.
REPEATING THE 400 AM CDT POSITION...25.6 N...96.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 700 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000 AM CDT.
FORECASTER PASCH
...DOLLY STRENGTHENS AS IT APPROACHES THE COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BROWNSVILLE TO CORPUS CHRISTI...AND FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER BETWEEN MEXICO AND THE UNITED STATES. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CORPUS CHRISTI TO SAN LUIS PASS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM LA PESCA TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 400 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.5 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES... 105 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.
DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF DOLLY WILL BE ALONG THE COAST NEAR THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER AROUND MIDDAY TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED...AND DOLLY COULD APPROACH CATEGORY TWO INTENSITY WHEN IT REACHES THE COASTLINE LATER TODAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM.
AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT RECENTLY REPORTED THAT THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS FALLEN TO 976 MB...28.82 INCHES.
DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEAST MEXICO.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS TODAY AND TONIGHT.
REPEATING THE 400 AM CDT POSITION...25.6 N...96.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 700 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000 AM CDT.
FORECASTER PASCH
Some areas over the immediate offshore Gulf waters have already seem nearly a foot of rain. This storm is moving verrrrry slowwwwwly, so this track; while the rain is good since the area is in a drought; is also bad since the hurricane is moving so slow - due to the flooding and levee breach potential.
QUOTE
BULLETIN HURRICANE DOLLY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008 600 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS BEGINNING TO SPREAD ACROSS THE COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BROWNSVILLE TO CORPUS CHRISTI...AND FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER BETWEEN MEXICO AND THE UNITED STATES. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CORPUS CHRISTI TO SAN LUIS PASS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM LA PESCA TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 600 AM CDT...1100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.6 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES... 90 KM...EAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.
DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF DOLLY WILL BE ALONG THE COAST NEAR THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER AROUND MIDDAY TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED...AND DOLLY COULD APPROACH CATEGORY TWO INTENSITY WHEN IT REACHES THE COASTLINE LATER TODAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM.
AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 972 MB...28.70 INCHES.
DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEAST MEXICO.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS TODAY AND TONIGHT.
REPEATING THE 600 AM CDT POSITION...25.8 N...96.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000 AM CDT.
FORECASTER AVILA
...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS BEGINNING TO SPREAD ACROSS THE COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BROWNSVILLE TO CORPUS CHRISTI...AND FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER BETWEEN MEXICO AND THE UNITED STATES. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CORPUS CHRISTI TO SAN LUIS PASS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM LA PESCA TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 600 AM CDT...1100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.6 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES... 90 KM...EAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.
DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF DOLLY WILL BE ALONG THE COAST NEAR THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER AROUND MIDDAY TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED...AND DOLLY COULD APPROACH CATEGORY TWO INTENSITY WHEN IT REACHES THE COASTLINE LATER TODAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM.
AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 972 MB...28.70 INCHES.
DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEAST MEXICO.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS TODAY AND TONIGHT.
REPEATING THE 600 AM CDT POSITION...25.8 N...96.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000 AM CDT.
FORECASTER AVILA
The hurricane is strengthening. No es bueno.
QUOTE (FrostedPopTart @ Jul 21 2008, 08:30 PM)
This has been upgraded to a Hurricane WARNING as of 10pm CDT / 11pm EDT. Make your final preparations now, as this system has a chance to reach category 2 status (winds 96mph or greater).
My prediction came true, Hurricane Dolly has now reached category 2 status as of 11am EDT / 10am CDT (winds 100mph). Rainfall / flooding concerns will be huge with this storm due to its very slow movement.
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